Making Money Alert: Avoiding a European Downpour

Doug Fabian

Doug Fabian is known for his expert knowledge of ETFs, bear funds and enhanced index funds to profit in any market climate.

Stocks are down big time today, and there’s one reason — Europe. The machinations over how to deal with massive debt, a bailout plan and Greece’s viability as a member of the European Union (EU) is coming to a head this week, as policymakers in the region may have only a small window of opportunity to deal with a potentially explosive situation in the birthplace of democracy.

Investors are becoming increasingly skeptical that European leaders will succeed at jump-starting the region’s economy and preventing a messy exit from the EU by Greece. That, in turn, is causing money to be taken off of the investment table, and hence the big slide in stocks here in the United States, in Europe and in emerging markets around the globe.

On the currency front, investors also are abandoning the euro, which fell to its lowest level against the U.S. dollar in nearly two years. It seems as though the confidence in Europe’s common currency isn’t very robust and, as such, investors are fleeing to the relative safety of the greenback.

This week, European leaders are meeting to try and find a way to keep the region’s debt crisis from spiraling out of control. They’ve also got to plan for what I think is the inevitable, and that is a departure of Greece from the European Union. If, in fact, this happens, we’re going to feel the ramifications throughout the global equity market — and that could make today’s selling, and the selling in recent weeks, minute by comparison.

The threat of a European Union meltdown, and the concomitant flight of capital away from the region, is why I’ve been so cautious when it comes to equity allocations in my Successful Investing and High Monthly Income advisory services. The risk here is too high, and the threat of a continued sell-off of the kind we’ve seen during the past two weeks is just too great for me to recommend that subscribers put their serious money at risk.

A look at the three charts below shows the devastating technical damage that investors would have suffered if they were holding stocks this month.


As you can see, share prices have plummeted in the S&P 500 Index, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM) and the iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA). Both EEM and EFA now trade below their respective 200-day moving averages, and the S&P 500 could be next. Together, these three market segments represent the dangers posed to your money from the debt debacle in Europe.

Until we get some clarity, and some agreement, from European policymakers on how to get things resolved in debt-ridden Europe, we are liable to suffer more euro-induced selling.

The bottom line here is that you should steer clear of stocks, since there are way too many unknowns and yet-to-be-resolved issues in Europe. Instead of watching your money crater due to a European downpour, the better thing to do is to be on the sidelines and watch how the drama plays out this weekend. By Monday, we should have a good sense — for better or for worse — about how the whole issue of Greece and the EU is going to play out going forward.

For now, be patient, and preserve capital. When the storm clouds clear, you’ll want to have plenty of cash on hand to buy attractively priced assets at a discount.

An Eyelash Difference

“In war, you win or lose, live or die — and the difference is just an eyelash.”

–Gen. Douglas MacArthur

The great American military leader knew that when it comes to war, the tiniest things make the difference. This theory also can be applied to investing, because here even the slightest mistake can send your holdings tumbling. In this precarious period for investors, it is more important than ever to make sure your decisions are precise. Even an eyelash-size error can hurt you in the long run, so be wise, and make sure you think out every financial move you make.

Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote you’d like me to share with your fellow Alert readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my audio podcast, newsletters, seminars or anything else. Click here to ask Doug.


Doug Fabian

previous article

As I have indicated in the recent past, energy stocks are well worth considering as investment opportunities. Coal stocks, in particular, have declined following an uncharacteristically warm winter in the United States. However, as coal demand increases in emerging markets such as China, India, and Africa -- where it remains a cheaper energy source than natural gas -- the commodity seems poised to make significant gains in the months ahead. I am tracking one coal fund in particular, the


Dr. Mark Skousen

Named one of the "Top 20 Living Economists," Dr. Skousen is a professional economist, investment expert, university professor, and author of more than 25 books.

Product Details

  • Forecasts & Strategies
  • Home Run Trader
  • Fast Money Alert
  • Five Star Trader
  • TNT Trader

Bryan Perry

A former Wall Street financial advisor with three decades' experience, Bryan Perry focuses his efforts on high-yield income investing and quick-hitting options plays.

Product Details

  • Cash Machine
  • Premium Income (exclusively for subscribers of Cash Machine)
  • Quick Income Trader
  • Breakout Profits Alert
  • Hi-Tech Trader

Jim Woods

Jim Woods has over 20 years of experience in the markets from working as a stockbroker,
financial journalist, and money manager. As well as a book author and regular contributor to
numerous investment websites, Jim is the editor of:

Product Details

  • Successful Investing
  • Intelligence Report
  • Bullseye Stock Trader

Bob Carlson

Bob Carlson provides independent, objective research covering all the financial issues of retirement and retirement planning. In addition, Bob serves as Chairman of the Board of Trustees of the Fairfax County (VA) Employees’ Retirement System, which has over $2.8 billion in assets.

Product Details

  • Retirement Watch
  • Retirement Watch Spotlight Series
  • Lifetime Retirement Protection Program

Jon Johnson

Jon Johnson's philosophy in investing and trading is to take what the market gives you regardless if that is to the upside or downside. For the past 21 years, Jon has helped thousands of clients gain success in the financial markets through his newsletters and education services:

Product Details

  • Investment House Daily
  • Technical Traders Alert
  • Success Trading Group

Used by financial advisors and individual investors all over the world, is the premier provider and one-stop shop for dividend information and research.

Product Details

Popular tools include our proprietary Dividend Calendar, Dividend Calculator, Dividend Score Card, and many more.

  • Dividend Investor