Market Melt-up Continues as Consumer Confidence Soars

Nicholas Vardy

Nicholas Vardy has a unique background that has proven his knack for making money in different markets around the world.

U.S. and global stock markets closed yet another mixed week.

The S&P 500 eked out a 0.23% gain, while the Dow Jones pulled back 0.28%. Both the Nasdaq and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index posted better weeks, closing the week up 2.81% and 0.85%, respectively.

Prem Watsa’s bet on BlackBerry (BB) jumped another 4.52% — the same percentage it rose last week. This position is now up 22.23%.

Carl Icahn’s PayPal Holdings (PYPL) rose another 3.35%. The stock is now up over 77.84% since my initial recommendation.

Tom Gayner’s Markel (MKL) rounded out the top three performers in your Smart Money Masters portfolio with a 1.95% gain.

Seven of your positions sport double-digit-percentage gains. Kraft Heinz (KHC), Liberty Broadband (LBRDK), The St. Joe Company (JOE) and Navigator Holdings (NVGS) are all trading below their 50-day moving averages and are currently HOLDs.

Portfolio Update

According to the Consumer Conference Board, U.S. consumer confidence just jumped to its highest level since late 2000. Recall that was the height of the dotcom boom.

At the same time, the savings rate dropped to one of its lowest levels on record. That occurs only during periods of high confidence. It also is usually a function of calm and rising markets.

And high consumer confidence is not just in the United States. The European Commission reports that economic confidence is at nearly the highest level ever.

Also, as I wrote in yesterday’s edition of The Global Guru, we are entering the strongest six months in U.S. and global stock markets. The outperformance of U.S. and global stock markets on the period through November and April is almost universal.

All this bodes well for the global stock markets over the medium term.

Enjoy the ride!


Nicholas Vardy

Nicholas A. Vardy

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