How Components of China’s Economy Compare to the Whole

We featured FXI, a general Chinese exchange-traded fund (ETF), a little more than a month ago, and that fund’s upward climb warrants us looking at other ETFs focused on that huge emerging market. To that end, today’s ETF Talk will introduce you to two ETFs, with each fund tracking different areas of China’s market: small caps and the consumer.

Guggenheim China Small Cap ETF (HAO) traces the results of an index that follows publicly traded small capitalization companies based in mainland China. In other words, HAO profits on the success of smaller publicly traded Chinese companies. While this fund is about even this year, losing 1.43%, it has just climbed back from a big April-May tumble. Historically, HAO has bounced back strongly from midyear declines to close out each year. It also offers a dividend yield of 2.16%.

While Chinese small caps have done well in recent weeks, companies that serve China’s consumers generally are having a rough year. Global X China Consumer ETF (CHIQ), a non-diversified fund, follows the results of an index that measures the equity performance of investable companies in the consumer sector of the Chinese economy. This ETF has lost 7.28% so far in 2014, mostly in successive plummets during the first half of the year. Despite the lack of strength in the Chinese consumer sector, the chart below shows CHIQ starting to recover from its early-year lows. CHIQ’s yield is 1.03%.

As the preceding charts show, the overall Chinese market, as represented by FXI, has been trending upward, but this pattern does not extend to every sector in China. Small caps are mirroring the upswing, but consumer stocks have not followed in the recovery. My hope is that by delving into a general trend, you can identify sectors that have begun to ascend and others that could rise next.

If you want my advice about buying and selling specific ETFs, including appropriate stop losses, please consider subscribing to my Successful ETF Investing newsletter. As always, I am happy to answer any of your questions about ETFs, so do not hesitate to send me an e-mail. You just may see your question answered in a future ETF Talk.

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my article from last week about emerging market opportunities in Asia. I also invite you to share your thoughts below.

Doug Fabian

Doug Fabian is the Editor of Weekly ETF Report, a free weekly e-newsletter, and the newsletter Successful ETF Investing. He’s also the host of the syndicated radio show, “Doug Fabian’s Wealth Strategies.” Doug also edits the fast-paced trading service ETF Trader’s Edge, for investors who want to take their profits to the next level. Taking over the reins from his dad, Dick Fabian, back in 1992, Doug has continued to uphold the reputation of the newsletter as the #1 risk-adjusted market timer as ranked by Hulbert’s Investment Digest. Doug became a member of the “SmartMoney 30” in 1999 — a listing of the most influential individuals in the mutual fund industry. In the feature, SmartMoney magazine exclaims that Doug is the best-known “trend follower” among the $56 billion (and growing) group of financial advisors. In 2001, Doug wrote “Maverick Investing,” published by McGraw-Hill. He also regularly appears at seminars around the country, stands out on the pages of the largest newspapers (The Wall Street Journal, The Los Angeles Times, and The New York Times), and speaks on national television (CNBC, Fox News, and Bloomberg Forum). For more than 35 years, Successful ETF Investing (formerly the Telephone Switch Newsletter and Successful Investing) has produced double-digit percentage annual gains. Doug has become known for his expert knowledge and timely use of innovative tools, such as exchange-traded funds, bear funds, and enhanced-index funds to profit in any market climate. For more information about Doug’s services, go to http://www.fabian.com/

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