U.S. Investing

Is Wall Street Heading Over a Cliff? It Could Be Time for a Gut Check

Is Wall Street heading over a cliff? Maybe not, but it could be time for investors to take a gut check.

Bear markets are easy to analyze, while bona fide bull markets are only a little more complicated. But for most investors, the real test of patience comes when stocks move sideways, without much clear direction either way.

And the type of market environment you see ahead says a lot about who you are and what you want from your portfolio. That’s why I love to ask the question: where do you see your investments going in the immediate future?

Notice that I am not asking about “the market.” All I want to know is how much confidence you have in the stocks you own, because if you aren’t looking forward to good things ahead, you’re in the wrong stocks.

Is Wall Street Heading Over a Cliff? The Hedge Fund Lesson

You know what I think about the market as a whole. My YouTube channel is constantly updating with my latest thoughts and projections.

In the long run, the market as a whole always points up. We got all the proof we needed today, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average once again breaking records.

By definition, you’re living in the best of times. That’s all a bull market is. And markets spend a lot of time racing from record to record.

Is Wall Street Heading Over a Cliff? Avoid Investing in the Wrong Stocks

If you don’t feel that thrill of victory, you’re in the wrong stocks. Maybe your stocks have done well for you in the past, but you just don’t see any upside ahead. If so, sell.

On the other hand, your stocks may be stalled. A lot of Wall Street favorites are in that position right now. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), for example, is down nearly 2% so far this year, and even Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is up barely 2% over the same period.

That’s a grind when you’ve gotten used to these powerhouse stocks rocketing 60-100% a year. And I’m going to be completely honest. I don’t see them continuing on that trajectory in the near future.

I am not criticizing either company. They’ve literally created trillions of dollars in shareholder wealth. My only question is whether they can create trillions more.

Other stalled stocks have a brighter future. Stocks that dominate my IPO Edge come to mind. They’re new to the market, often overlooked on Wall Street and are vulnerable to the market’s mood swings.

Is Wall Street Heading Over a Cliff? Some Stocks Are Taking a Step Back

Some of the stocks in my IPO Edge portfolio have taken a step back over the last month. I still love the companies and see a lot of bright futures ahead. It would not be a bad time for new investors to subscribe to the trading service by clicking here to capture the next leg up.

These positions are worth keeping in search of new heights. That’s a lesson that circulates in the hedge fund community. When a stock falls, we don’t ask ourselves if we want to sell at a loss.

Instead, we ask if we’d still buy at this price. And then we back up our answer with actual cash. Otherwise, we’ve lost faith and it truly is time to go.

Right now, I see a lot of people on Wall Street making similar decisions. Most are staying in the game. That tells you all you need to know about the market’s real mood.

Is Wall Street Heading Over a Cliff? Value Stocks May Have a Place in One’s Portfolio

But if you’re nervous, consider my Value Authority, where the goal is to lock in dividend yields and buy freedom for the rest of the portfolio to ride the market waves.

When you’re making money on your stocks quarter after quarter, you never need to sell a single share. In theory, the stock price doesn’t even matter.

You’re free to let the market storms blow. 

I’m talking about all of this on my Millionaire Makers radio show (Spotify)(Apple) and video channel (YouTube). Subscribe now so you never miss an episode… or an opportunity!

Hilary Kramer

Hilary Kramer is an investment analyst and portfolio manager with 30 years of experience on Wall Street. The Financial Times describes Ms. Kramer as “A one-woman financial investment powerhouse” and The Economist distinguishes her as “one of the best-known investors in America”. Ms. Kramer is often quoted in publications such as the Wall Street JournalNew York Post, Bloomberg, and Reuters. She is a frequent guest commentator on CNBC, CBS, Fox News and Bloomberg, providing investment insight and economic analysis. Ms. Kramer was an analyst and investment banker at Morgan Stanley and Lehman Brothers.  Ms. Kramer founded and ran a long-short hedge fund and has been chief investment officer overseeing debt and equity portfolios. Since 2010, Ms. Kramer’s financial publications have provided stock analysis and investment advice to her subscribers.  Her products include GameChangers, Value Authority, High Octane Trader, Triple-Digit Trader, 2-Day Trader, IPO Edge and Inner Circle. Ms. Kramer, a Certified Fraud Examiner, has also testified as an expert in investment suitability, risk management, compliance, executive compensation, and corporate governance. Ms. Kramer received her MBA from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and her BA with honors from Wellesley College. Ms. Kramer has provided testimony regarding investment policy to the U.S. Senate and is a frequent speaker on the markets, portfolio management and securities fraud and compliance. Ms. Kramer is also the author of “Ahead of the Curve” (Simon & Schuster 2007) and “The Little Book of Big Profits from Small Stocks” (Wiley 2012).

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