What the Market’s Recent Comeback Rally Means for Investors

After a seven-day run higher in the equity markets, stocks in the benchmark S&P 500 Index now have recovered a majority of the losses they sustained during the previous two weeks.

The recent buying has lifted the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) back above its 50-day moving average. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also now is trading above its 50-day average. Of course, not all major indices have recovered as briskly.

Small-cap stocks, such as those in the Russell 2000 Index, and large-cap tech stocks, such as those in the PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ), remain below their respective 50-day moving averages. Although the so-called Qs have staged a nice comeback during the past week, the index hasn’t yet been able to push above its short-term trend line.

The big talk out there among market pundits, investors and the financial press is expectations for the economy. It seems that nearly everyone is expecting big things from the economy, both here and aboard.

Now, however, we need to see the proof in the pudding.

So far, the economic data has been rather mixed. On one hand, you have slowing China growth, tepid gross domestic product (GDP) metrics here at home and today’s disappointing housing data. On the flipside, retail sales are strong, bond yields remain low and there have been steady gains in the job market.

I think that before stocks can really make a big break to the upside, we are going to have to see some outstanding economic data that supports another leg higher in equities. So far, that data just has not shown up, and until it does, I suspect we’re in for more sideways trading that will have the major indices bouncing both below and above the 50-day averages.

If you want to find out how to take advantage of secular bull markets operating with their own tailwinds, and that are far less susceptible to general market flux, I invite you to check out my Successful Investing advisory service, today!

Extremism is NOT a Vice

“I would remind you that extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice! And let me remind you also that moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue!”

–Barry Goldwater

The conservative politician and thinker made these famous comments nearly 50 years ago during his acceptance speech at the 1964 Republican Convention. Well, love him or hate him, you can’t deny that Barry Goldwater was a man of conviction — and quite often right on the money with his ideas, as evidenced by this seminal quote.

Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote you’d like me to share with your fellow Making Money Alert readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my audio podcast, newsletters, seminars or anything else. Ask Doug.

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter article from last week about what last week’s big sell-off means for the markets. I also invite you to comment in the space provided below.

Doug Fabian

Doug Fabian is the Editor of Weekly ETF Report, a free weekly e-newsletter, and the newsletter Successful ETF Investing. He’s also the host of the syndicated radio show, “Doug Fabian’s Wealth Strategies.” Doug also edits the fast-paced trading service ETF Trader’s Edge, for investors who want to take their profits to the next level. Taking over the reins from his dad, Dick Fabian, back in 1992, Doug has continued to uphold the reputation of the newsletter as the #1 risk-adjusted market timer as ranked by Hulbert’s Investment Digest. Doug became a member of the “SmartMoney 30” in 1999 — a listing of the most influential individuals in the mutual fund industry. In the feature, SmartMoney magazine exclaims that Doug is the best-known “trend follower” among the $56 billion (and growing) group of financial advisors. In 2001, Doug wrote “Maverick Investing,” published by McGraw-Hill. He also regularly appears at seminars around the country, stands out on the pages of the largest newspapers (The Wall Street Journal, The Los Angeles Times, and The New York Times), and speaks on national television (CNBC, Fox News, and Bloomberg Forum). For more than 35 years, Successful ETF Investing (formerly the Telephone Switch Newsletter and Successful Investing) has produced double-digit percentage annual gains. Doug has become known for his expert knowledge and timely use of innovative tools, such as exchange-traded funds, bear funds, and enhanced-index funds to profit in any market climate. For more information about Doug’s services, go to http://www.fabian.com/

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