This week’s theme is the newly confident Chinese oil companies. These once-irrelevant Asian energy players burst on the global investment scene 2005 with state-owned CNOOC’s high-profile (if unsuccessful) $18.5 billion bid for Conoco. Master investor Warren Buffett was aware of these opportunities earlier than most, having sunk $300 million into Chinese oil giant Petro China back in 2002.

But we think we’ve gone Buffett one better by uncovering Beijing-based China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, or "CPCC" (NYSE: SNP). This oil and chemical giant has proved reserves of approximately 3,267 million barrels of crude oil and 3,033 billion cubic feet of natural gas. It also has a huge retail presence, owning over 30,000 gas stations in China.

CPCC is also the most undervalued of Chinese oil stocks. It’s got the lowest P/E and lowest P/S among all its Chinese rivals. Its PEG ratio of .36 is particularly impressive. (Anything below "1" screams "buy".)

There are also signs that the Chinese stock market has awakened from a long slumber. After dropping over 8% last year, the China market has been one of the top performers so far in 2006. Chinese oil and natural resource stocks have been are particularly strong.

Whether or not investment bank Goldman Sachs’ prediction of $100 per barrel of oil this year proves to be accurate, CPCC is certain to outperform other international global oil giants like Royal Dutch Shell and British Petroleum.

So buy SNP at market today. Set a stop price of $47.50. If you want to play the options for potentially greater profits, buy the July $60 calls (SNPGL.X).

PORTFOLIO UPDATE

We were stopped out of our remaining one-half position in Elan on Wall Street’s selloff last week. You made 70% and 128% in Elan options, and over 50% on the half stock position you sold on Wednesday.

Despite Wall Street’s sharp drop on Friday, our position in NII Holdings (NIHD) hit record highs. Last week’s recommendation Gold Fields (GFI) is also in positive territory, as gold hit its record levels — and is up again today. Teva (TEVA) and America Movil (AMX) have also held up better than the market as a whole.

Korean bank Woori Financial (WF) was, however, caught in the downdraft of the Japanese market’s mini-contagion. Nevertheless, the fundamentals remain as strong as ever. Woori announced last week that it was planning to open 100 more branches in Korea and is on the verge of acquiring a major credit card business in South Korea.

Nicholas Vardy

Nicholas Vardy has a unique background that has proven his knack for making money in different markets around the world. He was the Editor of The Global Guru, a free weekly e-newsletter, and also edited the trading services Momentum Trader Alert, which focused on making short-term profits in the hottest markets in the world, and The Alpha Algorithm, which was designed specifically to deliver big, fast triple-digit winners, month after month. He was also the editor of Smart Money Masters, a monthly service focused on longer term investments recommended by the brightest minds in the business. Mr. Vardy has been a regular commentator on CNN International and the Fox Business Network. He has also published articles in The New Republic, The World and I, and The Baker & McKenzie Legal Review. The Global Guru/Nicholas Vardy has been cited in The Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, Fox Business News, CBS MarketWatch, Yahoo! Finance, and MSN Money Central. Mr. Vardy graduated from Stanford with a B.A. — with honors and distinction — in both Economics and History, and he also earned an M.A in Modern European Intellectual History. After winning a Fulbright Scholarship, he earned a J.D. degree at Harvard Law School where he was an editor of the Harvard International Law Journal. When not uncovering investment opportunities for his subscribers and investors, Mr. Vardy is a keep-fit enthusiast and an avid student of classical music.  

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