Betting on a Bounce in Cybersecurity

Nicholas Vardy

Nicholas Vardy has a unique background that has proven his knack for making money in different markets around the world.

U.S. stock markets recovered somewhat last week with the Dow Jones up 0.69%, the S&P 500 rising 1.16% and the NASDAQ recovering 0.78%. The MCSI Emerging Markets Index ended the week 0.16% higher.

Advertisement.

Your biggest gainer was Halyard Health Inc. (HYH), which added 1.17%.

You were also stopped out of Ambarella Inc. (AMBA) for a 20% gain in the stock.

All of your Bull Market Alert positions are trading below their 50-day moving averages and are a HOLD.

Advertisement.

This week’s Bull Market Alert recommendation is Silicon Valley-based Infoblox (BLOX).

Firmly ensconced in the red-hot cybersecurity space, this tech company sells network appliances that manage Internet addresses and identify devices connected to corporate networks. These appliances help IT departments manage complex, related groups of technologies together including DNS, or domain name system; DHCP, or dynamic host configuration protocol; and IPAM, or Internet protocol address management.

Up over 16% this year, here’s why I expect Infoblox’s stock to continue on its upward trend in the next few months.

First, the company’s new CEO Jesper Andersen is already having a positive impact on the direction of the company. After only six months, Andersen has focused the company on network growth and complexity as it targets larger, more strategic customers, including telecom service providers and larger enterprises. Four of the Fortune 10 companies are already using Infoblox for security, but only 500 of the 8,100 customers of BLOX are using its secure DNS products. So there is plenty of room for expansion.

Advertisement.

Second, Infoblox looks like it will easily deliver sustained 20%-plus revenue growth through new marketing initiatives and a push into security products. Most recently, reported fiscal Q3 revenue and profit beat expectations and forecast current-quarter results above consensus estimates.

Exclusive  Slow GO: Is a Bear Market and Hard Landing Coming?

Finally, Infoblox’s stock is technically oversold and is due for a bounce. This is based on several of my favorite technical indicators, including slow stochastics and MACD. In addition, the stock bounced off a long-time technical support level last week and has begun to recover over the past few days.

So buy BLOX at market today and place your stop at a relatively tight $21.

If you want to play the options, I recommend the October $25 calls (BLOX151016C00025000), which last traded at $1.25 and expire on Oct. 16.

Portfolio Update

Advertisement.

Halyard Health Inc. (HYH) added 1.17%. HYH will report earnings on Tuesday before markets open. The analysts’ consensus estimate is $0.52 earnings per share (EPS) with revenue expected at $401.7 million for the quarter. HYH has its fiscal year 2015 guidance projected between $2.30-$2.50 EPS. HYH is a HOLD.

iShares MSCI Hong Kong (EWH) dipped 0.36%. EWH traded sideways last week as Chinese markets continued to pull back. Chinese stocks saw their worst single day of declines in more than eight years over the prior week as brokerages tightened margin requirements. Many stocks lost the maximum regulatory amount of 10%. EWH remains near its 200-day moving average (MA). EWH is a HOLD.

Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS) lost 3.75%. VIPS will report earnings on Aug. 12 and the analysts’ consensus estimate is $0.10 EPS. VIPS reported $0.11 EPS last quarter. The analysts’ consensus rating on VIPS is a “Strong Buy,” with the most bullish firm setting a price target of $35.00 — a whopping 80% above last Friday’s close. VIPS is a HOLD.

Exclusive  Nothing Eclipses Man’s Rational Faculty

Avago Technologies Limited (AVGO) fell 2.60% last week. AVGO is up 25% year to date and up 75% over the previous one-year period. Avago currently has nearly 6% of its stock’s float sold short, which is a 14% dip month over month. AVGO is expected to announce earnings on Aug. 27, and the analysts’ consensus estimate is $1.94 EPS. AVGO is a HOLD.

Upcoming Appearance

Join me on “Straight Talk Money” in Houston and Denver at 9:20 AM (EST) on Wednesday, Aug. 5 to talk about the latest in the markets from a global perspective.

Advertisement.

NEW FEATURE — Receive your alerts via text! You now can receive a text message on your cell phone to inform you whenever a trading alert is sent. To add this free new benefit to your service, please send an email to CustomerService@NicholasVardy.com with the following information and mention in the email that you want your cell phone added to your account:

  • Your Name
  • Your Zip Code
  • Your Email Address
  • Your Cell Phone number

Please note that we can only deliver text messages to cell phones with U.S. or Canadian numbers. Standard text messaging rates from your provider apply.

Nicholas Vardy

share on:

Like This Article?
Now Get Our FREE Special Report:
Alternative Investing: Investing in Timber

Stock Investor editor Paul Dykewicz reveals why investing in timber may be one of the best long-term portfolio strategies you'll find today.

Get Access to the Report, 100% FREE


img
share on:

PREMIUM SERVICES FOR INVESTORS

Dr. Mark Skousen

Named one of the "Top 20 Living Economists," Dr. Skousen is a professional economist, investment expert, university professor, and author of more than 25 books.

Product Details

  • Forecasts & Strategies
  • Home Run Trader
  • Fast Money Alert
  • Five Star Trader
  • TNT Trader
LEARN MORE HERE

Bryan Perry

A former Wall Street financial advisor with three decades' experience, Bryan Perry focuses his efforts on high-yield income investing and quick-hitting options plays.

Product Details

  • Cash Machine
  • Premium Income PRO (exclusively for subscribers of Cash Machine)
  • Quick Income Trader
  • Breakout Options Alert
  • Hi-Tech Trader
LEARN MORE HERE

Jim Woods

Jim Woods has over 20 years of experience in the markets from working as a stockbroker,
financial journalist, and money manager. As well as a book author and regular contributor to
numerous investment websites, Jim is the editor of:

Product Details

  • Successful Investing
  • High Velocity Options
  • Intelligence Report
  • Bullseye Stock Trader
  • Eagle Eye Opener
LEARN MORE HERE

Bob Carlson

Bob Carlson provides independent, objective research covering all the financial issues of retirement and retirement planning. In addition, Bob serves as Chairman of the Board of Trustees of the Fairfax County (VA) Employees’ Retirement System, which has over $2.8 billion in assets.

Product Details

  • Retirement Watch
  • Retirement Watch Spotlight Series
  • Lifetime Retirement Protection Program
LEARN MORE HERE

Jon Johnson

Jon Johnson's philosophy in investing and trading is to take what the market gives you regardless if that is to the upside or downside. For the past 21 years, Jon has helped thousands of clients gain success in the financial markets through his newsletters and education services:

Product Details

  • Investment House Daily
  • Stock of the Week
  • Technical Traders Alert
  • Rapid Profits Stock Trader
LEARN MORE HERE

DividendInvestor.com

Used by financial advisors and individual investors all over the world, DividendInvestor.com is the premier provider and one-stop shop for dividend information and research.

Product Details

Popular tools include our proprietary Dividend Calendar, Dividend Calculator, Dividend Score Card, and many more.

  • Dividend Investor
LEARN MORE HERE

George Gilder

George Gilder is the most knowledgeable man in America when it comes to the future of technology and its impact on our lives.  He’s an established investor, bestselling author, and economist with an uncanny ability to foresee how new breakthroughs will play out, years in advance.

Product Details

  • Technology Report
  • Technology Report PRO
  • Moonshots
  • Private Reserve
  • Millionaire Circle
LEARN MORE HERE

DayTradeSPY

DayTradeSPY was founded by head trader Hugh Grossman, a retired internal auditor for a Fortune 500 company. After years of first-hand experience trying out one trading strategy after another, Hugh instead developed his own trading system centered around day trading SPY options. That’s it... Nothing else.

Product Details

  • Trading Room
  • Pick of the Day
  • Inner Circle
  • Online Workshops
LEARN MORE HERE