Elan — this week’s Global Bull Market Alert pick — is a biotechnology company that’s become a symbol of Ireland’s economic resurgence.

Like Ireland itself, Elan has had its share of luck, both good and bad.

The Food and Drug Administration approved Elan’s first blockbuster drug Tysabri, a treatment for multiple sclerosis, in November 2004. The FDA then pulled the drug from the market in February after it was linked to a fatal brain disease. That sent Elan’s stock plunging from $27 to $8 in a single day.

Today, the sun is shining through the dense Irish mist for Elan. Two weeks ago, the stock jumped almost 14% in two days on the news that the FDA has granted Tysabri “priority review” status. This means that it will review the drug for reintroduction into the market place within the next six months.

A.G. Edwards recently upgraded Elan, saying the odds favor a return of Tysabri. Elan itself is convinced that the multiple sclerosis drug can return to the market by the second half of 2006. When that happens, expect the stock to skyrocket.

The news of the FDA review broke Elan out of a tight trading range, and the stock has established a solid uptrend since bottoming in mid-October. The biotech sector as a whole has also shown terrific strength recently, with the Nasdaq Biotech index up 11.6% since October 12th.

So buy Elan (ELN) at market today, and put in a stop at $8.25. But be prepared for a volatile ride. Top hedge fund managers manage the swings in their portfolios by taking smaller positions in volatile stocks like Elan. You might consider the same strategy by taking half your normal position in this pick.

But if you want to go full throttle on the Elan recovery, go ahead and buy the April $12.50 (ELNDV.X) options.

Portfolio Update

Our Global Bull Market Alert is off to a strong start, with all of our first six picks firmly in positive territory. Our two Latin American picks, America Movil (AMX) and Banco Bradesco (BBD), are up more than 10%. The AMX options we recommended three weeks ago are up 62%. The China Mobile (CHL) options have recorded double-digit gains in the week since we’ve recommended them.

Go ahead and sell half of your AMX options to lock in some of your profits. But hold onto your AMX stock, and move your stop up to $24.90. UBS recently increased its price target for AMX from $35 to $38, so we still have a way to go on this one. Also, move your stop in Norsk Hydro (NHY) to $96.00, BBD to $53.50, and EWO to $24.00.

Nicholas Vardy

Nicholas Vardy has a unique background that has proven his knack for making money in different markets around the world. He was the Editor of The Global Guru, a free weekly e-newsletter, and also edited the trading services Momentum Trader Alert, which focused on making short-term profits in the hottest markets in the world, and The Alpha Algorithm, which was designed specifically to deliver big, fast triple-digit winners, month after month. He was also the editor of Smart Money Masters, a monthly service focused on longer term investments recommended by the brightest minds in the business. Mr. Vardy has been a regular commentator on CNN International and the Fox Business Network. He has also published articles in The New Republic, The World and I, and The Baker & McKenzie Legal Review. The Global Guru/Nicholas Vardy has been cited in The Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, Fox Business News, CBS MarketWatch, Yahoo! Finance, and MSN Money Central. Mr. Vardy graduated from Stanford with a B.A. — with honors and distinction — in both Economics and History, and he also earned an M.A in Modern European Intellectual History. After winning a Fulbright Scholarship, he earned a J.D. degree at Harvard Law School where he was an editor of the Harvard International Law Journal. When not uncovering investment opportunities for his subscribers and investors, Mr. Vardy is a keep-fit enthusiast and an avid student of classical music.  

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