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Despite Beating Profit Expectations, The Toro Company Stock Declines After Missing Sales Projection (NYSE:TTC)

The Toro Company (NYSE:TTC) has delivered strong financial results for the fourth-quarter and full-year 2019 this week, However, the share price pulled back amid investor selloff because of the company missed sales projections.

However, The Toro Company has rewarded its shareholders with robust long-term total returns. Current performance trends and technical indicators, as well as the company’s operational and financial fundamentals do not show any indication that long-term performance and growth might cease soon — absent some unpredictable occurrence.

As of 2019, the company generates more than three quarters of its revenues in the United States. This large share of the domestic market could provide a stable revenue base sufficient to whether most of the negative effects of the company’s exposure to international markets for its sourcing needs and potential import tariffs that could be imposed by other countries.

In addition to long-term asset appreciation, The Toro Company has also offered its shareholders dividend income payouts for nearly three decades. If the company maintains its recent performance, the current share price pullback could turn out to be a buying opportunity for some investors.

 

Financial Results

On December 18, 2019, The Toro company released generally positive financial results for the fourth-quarter and full-year 2019, which ended on October 31, 2019. While falling slightly short of analysts’ expectations for the quarter, the company reported a 36.2% year over year net sales increase from $539.3 million for the same period last year to the current period’s $734.4 million figure.

Net earnings slipped 2% from $39 million in the fourth-quarter 2018 to $38.3 million, which is equivalent to $0.35 per diluted share. However, the $51.8 million adjusted earnings were 51.5% higher than the  $34.2 million figure one year earlier. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.48 increased 50% over the $0.32 EPS from the same period last year and beat analysts’ earnings expectations of $0.46 by 4.3%.

The Toro Company’s annual net sales topped the $3 billion mark in 2019. The $3.14 billion figure was nearly 20% higher than last year’s sales of $2.62 billion. Net earnings increased 0.8% from $271.9 million in 2018 to $274 million for the current year. Earnings per share advanced 1.2% from $2.50 to $2.53. On the adjusted basis, the $324.3 million earnings were almost 12% above the $290.1 million earnings for last year. Furthermore, the $3.00 adjusted EPS was 12.4% higher than the previous year.

 

Dividends

The Toro Company began dividend distributions in 1999. Over that period, the company has failed to hike its annual dividend payout only five times. Since missing the hike in 2009, the company has enhanced its annual dividend amount nearly seven-fold. This advancement pace corresponds to an average annual dividend growth rate of almost 19%. even with a missed hike in 2009, the average dividend growth rate over the past 16 years is more than 24% per year.

The most recent dividend hike for the upcoming distribution raised the quarterly payout more than 11% from $0.225 in the previous period to the current $0.25 payout. This new quarterly amount is equivalent to a $1.00 annualized payout and a 1.31% forward dividend yield. Even with the robust share price growth — which suppresses the yield — The Toro Company’s current yield is still 5.4% higher than the company’s own 1.24% five-year average.

Additionally, the current yield is also in line with the 1.31% simple average yield of the overall Industrial Goods sector, as well as almost 15% above the 1.14% yield average of the company’s peers in the Farm & Construction Machinery industry segment. However, interested investors should conduct their own analysis and due diligence immediately as the next ex-dividend date is set for December 24, 2019. Therefore, investors must take position in the stock no later than end of trading to claim eligibility for receiving the next round of dividend distributions on January 9, 2020.

 

Share Price

Riding the only significant downtrend over the past five years, the share price dropped 3.7% in the first week of the trailing one-year period to reach its 52-week low of $53.23 on December 24, 2018. However, after reversing trend at the end of 2018, the share price gained more than 50% before reaching its new all-time high of $81.39 on December 12, 2019.

Even including the pullback following the current earnings release, the share price declined only 6% from the all-time high to close on Dec. 19 at $76.54. This closing price was 38.5% higher than it was one year earlier and nearly 44% above the 52-week low from Christmas Eve 2018, as well as 140% higher than it was five years ago.

Aided by rising dividend income payouts, the robust capital gains delivered total returns of 40% just over the trailing 12 months. The 20% share price pullback between August 2017 and December 2018 limited the three-year total returns to just 41%. However, the shareholders more than doubled their investment and pocketed a total return of 154% over the past five years.

 

The Toro Company (NYSE:TTC)

Headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota, and founded in 1914, the Toro Company designs, manufactures and markets farming and construction equipment as well as tools and accessories. The company’s Professional segment offers turf and landscape equipment, as well as specialty and rental construction equipment. Furthermore, this segment also offers snow and ice management equipment, including salt and sand spreaders, snowplows and related accessories. In addition to moving machinery, this segment provides irrigation systems and professionally installed lighting products through distributors and landscape contractors.

The Residential segment offers a variety of walk power mowers, riding mowers, snow throwers and other home solution products that include trimmers, blowers, vacuums and retail irrigation products. The Toro Company markets its products under 15 separate brand names through a network of professional distributors, dealers, rental stores and retailers in more than 125 countries. To support its product and distribution network, the company operates 14 manufacturing facilities in the United States and eight additional locations internationally in Mexico, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland Romania, Italy, China and Australia.

 


 

Ned Piplovic is the assistant editor of website content at Eagle Financial Publications. He graduated from Columbia University with a Bachelor’s degree in Economics and Philosophy. Prior to joining Eagle, Ned spent 15 years in corporate operations and financial management. Ned writes for www.DividendInvestor.com and www.StockInvestor.com.

Ned Piplovic

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